Thursday, December 16, 2010

Pension Replacement Levels



What are fair income replacement levels?

Why do we pay 70% replacement pensions for public sector employees? Many will retire with a higher standard of living  and with more disposable income than they had while working. 

Other sources of personal income are not taken into account. What is a fair replacement level?  

Public sector pensions are designed to provide 70% of final year's income. By contrast the CPP is designed to provide 25% replacement income. 

Most Canadian retirees see substantial drops in the cost of living at retirement. The most significant factor is that in Canada about 85% of Canadian over age 65 have no mortgage. On the other hand for most working Canadians about 28% of salary goes into paying a home mortgage. 

At retirement there are reductions in payroll taxes. For example, the CPP pension or EI contributions are no longer required. The CPP is a payroll tax of 4.95%. Also the pensions contributions that public sector employees make, around 10% of income are no longer required.

Many public sector employees will retire with more disposable income and a better lifestyle than they had when they were working.  Is it fair to pay public sector employees a taxpayer funded pension that provide a replacement income of 70? 

I recently covered this issue more fully in How Much is Enough?

 Bill Tufts 
Fair Pensions For All

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Pension limits for public sector pensions


Pension limits for public sector pensions 

No information is available regarding the amounts paid to current retirees in public sector. For example how many earn more than $200,000 in pensions, how many are over $150,000 and how many are over $100,000?

Many states require this disclosure as part of the Sunshine Laws that many jurisdictions have enacted. Ontario has one for the salaries of public employees but not for pensions. This needs to be changed. 

There are thousands of public sector employees earning pensions in excess of $100,000 per year at all levels of Canadian government.  Most employees in government earning over $140,000 per year will get a pension in excess of $100,000. That is a fixed income for life never to work again.

Some jurisdictions in North America  have put limits on pensions of $100,000 per year. This would be generated from a final retiring income income of about $142,000 a year. ie. 70% of $140,000. One idea is to base to pension limit on a factor of the Canadian average wage. The average wage for working Canadians is a little over $42,000. Set the pension limit at two times this amount and say that a public sector pension limit of $84,000 is fair. 

A supplemental pension is available to big earning public sector employees. These supplementary employee retirement plans were "set up to provide pension benefits to senior employees beyond the maximum permitted registered pension plan benefits as set out in the Income Tax Act." So that once public sector employees went over the pension and earning limits set out for taxpayers they created these special pensions for themselves. 

The supplemental pension limit is around $132,000. Any pensions paid over of this limit are paid into a supplemental pension plan designed to fund the excess amounts. The limit has been raised substantially in the past few years.

While the average Canadian is earning an income of just over $42,000 for working. The PSP federal pension plan shows that the average employee retiring this year starts on a pension over $39,000 most at age 55, for never working again. 

We have to consider the opportunity cost to our society for setting adrift large numbers of public sector employees into retirements at early ages. Most public sector pensions have indexing that will see them will surpass the average working wage within just a few years.

The most popular blog here has been Tales from the other side of the aging catastrophe.
It explains and has examples of what will happen when our society has more retirees than workers.  

Bill Tufts 
Fair Pensions For All

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Fair contributions for existing employees.

 Cartoon from the terrific editorial cartoon staff at the St John Telegraph-Journal

Currently the federal public sector contributes 8.4% into a plan that is worth about 34% of salary. The taxpayer is left picking up 25.6% of the existing plans. Changes be made to the existing plans to make them more fair?  
PSP Pension profile  Average pension paid - $24,506
PSP Pension rates
PSP Pension financials  Average new pension paid - $39,312
Average Canadian CPP pension - $6,000


Since any major changes in pension plan design for the public sector will be made for future employees, there are millions of public sector employees under the current pension regime.
As serious effort needs to evaluate what is a fair contribution by employees towards these plans.

The CD Howe estimates that currently these plans cost 34% of salary. The current contributions by employees fall far short. It is possible that the CD Howe estimate is too generous.

The head of the federal public sector pension board recently commented
As I observed in the 2010 Annual Report, the first 10 years of PSP Investments were challenging times. According to the Wall Street Journal, the first decade of the 21st century turned out to be the worst ever for US stocks based on records going back to the 1830s. Total returns for the period 2000-2009 amounted to negative 0.5%. That compared with a high of 18% in the 1950s and was even lower than the negative 0.2% return for the 1930s Depression era.
Courtesy: The Pension Pulse  PSP Investments' second Annual Public Meeting

Taxpayers holding the bag 
Holding the bag: It actually dates back to the middle of the eighteenth century in Britain. The original version was to give somebody the bag to hold, meaning to keep somebody occupied or distracted while you slipped away. Figuratively, it meant to leave somebody in the lurch, to let them stay around to take the blame for something that had gone wrong.

This is what taxpayers are left with, holding the bag. 




Bill Tufts 
Fair Pensions For All 

Monday, December 13, 2010

Essential elements of pension reform in Canada - Part I


It is recognized that retirement savings pensions in Canada are in crisis, at least for the private sector. Of course there is no crisis for public sector employee pensions, because they are backstopped by taxpayers.

Canadian Finance Ministers head to Kananaskis for meetings on December 20, 2010. The prime item on the agenda is retirement savings reform. 

Over the next week I will list the key elements that are required to make the retirement savings system more fair in Canada. Fair for public sector employees and fair for the taxpayers that fund the pension system for the Protected Class. 

Convert Public Sector Plans to Defined Contribution (DC) Pension Plans  
By the very nature of their design DC plans cannot have a shortfall. This is the type of retirement plan 80% of workers in the private sector have. A minority actually have pensions and the rest of Canadian have access to RRSP's.

Why do we give very generous pensions to the public sector for which they pay a small portion of the real cost? When they go bust or into shortfall the taxpayer picks up the tab.

This is not fair to taxpayers.
 

The future benefits for new employees should be changed from Defined Benefit pensions to DC pension plans. All new employees should would be enrolled into DC plans. Current DB plans should be frozen where they are today and all future pensions should be contributed into a DC pension.

There will be controversy over a move like this. Some experts suggest that you can’t eliminate pension benefits already promised? Although this has not been brought forth to higher level courts in Canada, it probably will be upheld because most members of the judiciary in Canada have one of the best pensions paid for by taxpayers. 

If this move is made expect major legal battles over the issue.  The strategy of the unions at this point will be to prolong any changes as along as possible as because a significant number of union members are set to retire in the next few years. The longer it takes to make changes the more members there will be who will get fully loaded gold-plated pensions.



Bill Tufts 
Fair Pensions For All

Tuesday, December 7, 2010

How much is enough?



As we head towards the finance meetings in Kananaskis there is much debate on the issue of pensions. Most Canadians are unaware and have minimal knowledgeable of the real issues surrounding pensions in Canada.

The photo above is from a magazine issue this year from Reason magazine. It describes what has happened in Canada and the US as our public servants have become our masters.  

How much is enough???

One major actuarial firm in Canada attempted to calculate how much Canadians need in retirement. One issue that came to light was the 70% replacement income pensions of public sector employees. 

One of my associates looked into the issue and discovered: 
The standard of living of a public sector couple (one earning $90k and the other $60k) can rise by 72% after retirement.  The example is conservative, meaning the result could have been even higher.For instance, if it is I assumed they would receive just 90% of CPP and assuming their mortgage payments (made over 25 years) represented just 20% of income whereas banks say it is safe to go up to 28% (on the mortgage payments .)
Canadians have been told to expect that 70% of working income needs to replaced in retirement. This is what the public sector and politicians have set up for themselves in pensions. 

The rest of us who pay for the pensions of the Protected Class will have to get by with much less.

This is a stunning report. It was written by one of Canada's top actuarial firms. It shows that a 70% pension for someone in the public sector actually produces a lifestyle equivalent to 170% of their former working salary.

The PDF report is called "Saving for Retirement: a Fresh Perspective" and was written by Morneau Sobeco. It shows that although taxpayers fund public sector pensions at the rate of 70% of retiring income, there are is numerous reasons that most Canadians do not need a replacement income this high. In fact, a replacement pension of 50% would replace 100% of lifestyle income for a public sector employee. 

Why do taxpayers fork over for a 70% replacement pension? 

The first reason is that for most Canadians their highest expense is the mortgage they pay on their homes. Almost 90% of seniors who own a home have no mortgage on it. Statscan Automatically this fact gives retirees a bonus on incomes up to 30% over working Canadians. 

Next on the list is the fact that Canadians stop making payments for retirement saving when they retire. The public sector pension costs 34% of annual salary. Public sector employees pay about a third of this or 10% of their income. This payment stops at retirement and so is another 10% bonus for their incomes. 

The list of deductions from a $100,00 income that Morneau gives includes the following:
      Expenses Specific to Pre-Retirement Period (Annual)
          CPP & EI deductions                           $2,000
          Retirement saving at 9% of pay*               $4,900
          Child-related expenses                              $18,000
          Employment expenses                                $4,000
          Mortgage payments                                  $20,000
                    Total deductions                                $48,900 

The question of how much replacement income is required is starting to be asked by more and more players in the pension reform game. Jack Mintz himself questioned the level of retirement income required by Canadians. He suggested that a replacement for high income earners, such as public sector employees, needs to be only 50%. 


So the question becomes...  
Why do working taxpayers have to fund so much in taxes to pay for the gold-plated retirements of the public sector? 
Especially when the public sector employees will retire into a standard of living much higher than their already inflated government incomes. 

Bill Tufts 
Fair Pensions For All

Thursday, November 25, 2010

The RRSP Credit Idea



This week there was a special session in the House of Commons to discuss pensions.

In preparation for that session some MP's were doing their homework on the issue. I will post my recommendations to one MP in an upcoming blog post.


This week as the discussions about CPP reform heated up The Current on CBC had an interesting series.You can listen to it here. Canada Pension Plan Reform


I will be visiting with Jack Dean of the Pension Tsunami in Los Angeles. Jack is a very interesting man and has his pulse on pension reform in the US. We always have an interesting conversation. I am sure I will have lots to report.


An idea was sent to me by Jack Ellefson of Calgary Alberta. It is a novel idea and one that I had not heard before. Please read it carefully because it contains some excellent ideas. 

Incentives for RRSP and Defined Contribution Pension Plans.

          Canadian pensions are commonly funded with annual contributions of 50% by the employer and 50% by the employee.  But the majority of municipal, provincial and federal employees have their Defined Benefit (DB) pension plans subsidized by their employers.  The civil servant  employer contribution amounts to 66 2/3%, with the employees share at  33 1/3%.  The  “pension adjustment” found on tax filing then allows the civil servant to place the additional 16 1/3% annual contribution into a self directed Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RRSP). Sovereign pensioners have well funded, secure, inflation protected pension  plans, plus the ability to enhance retirement by having the capacity to contribute to a self directed RRSP

            Private sector RRSP and Defined Contribution (DC) pensioners should be accorded similar retirement initiatives.  By following the very successful  Registered Education Savings Plan (RESP) for children’s education, whereby the government contributes directly into the RESP, proportional to the funds contributed.  RESPs receive up to a 20% grant on the first $2000 contribution to a child’s education fund , to a maximum of $400 per year.  A similar program should be put in place to enhance the contributions of RRSP and DC pension investors.

            A maximum RRSP contribution of $22,000 for say 30 years with compound growth at 5% would result in a retirement nest egg of $1.46 million dollars. (Similar growth is expected in DC pension plans, both of which upon retirement are  converted to a Registered Retirement Income Fund. (RRIF).

            Were the federal government to  enhance the individual’s annual contributions by
16 1/3% , to maximum of $4000 per year, the annual contribution would now be $26,000.  This annual contribution of $26,000 would compound to $1.73 million over 30 years at 5%.  But most importantly would provide that extra incentive for Canadians to plan early to develop their retirement savings.

            Federal subsidy to individual RRSPs and DC pension plans , would bring an element of fair treatment for retirement pensions  of all Canadians. RRSP incentives would not be available  to  taxpayers eligible for the “pension adjustment.”

            It is difficult  to estimate the cost of an RRSP incentive program.  The 2009 department of finance “tax expenditures” for RRSP contribution deductions was $7.85 billion. At a 30% tax rate it would imply about $26 billion annual contributions, which at a 16 1/3% incentive would cost about $4.25 billion. While this would be an expensive program, if it were as successful as the RESP incentive program, would foster growth of RRSP investing and would return ever larger amounts of tax payments as RRSPs are converted to Registered Retirement Income Funds (RRIF).


Bill Tufts 
Fair Pensions For All 


Thursday, November 18, 2010

On the trail to Kananiskis



This is an important time for pension reform in Canada. 

Next month in Kananskis the finance ministers of Canada are getting together to develop a plan for improving Canada's retirement security system. One the table are two proposals, one to improve CPP and the other to add  an additional, or supplementary plan on top of the CPP. 

Organized Labour Plan
The public sector unions are in  support of boosting the CPP pension. They are correct that something needs to be done and this plan will be a bonanza for them. 

Public sector unions already have the advantage of being able to get full pensions, when qualified, as early as age 55.

The CLC has put together a good analysis of their position and the problems for Canadians on the CLC website. Retirement Security for Everyone . They have also provided a good overview of the statistics in each province.  What Do They Mean for each Province?

The key point for this initiative is that  the CPP changes public sector unions recommend will have a windfall effect on public sector pensions.  Public sector plans are currently integrated with CPP, their plan to double CPP will greatly reduce the pension shortfalls that many public sector face today. 
 
The first $11,200 of a defined benefit pension is paid by the CPP. The rest of the pensions is paid from the pension plan. Doubling CPP will mean that the first $22,400 of public sector pensions will be paid by CPP. 

For example, on a $70,000 a year public sector pension CPP pays $11,200 and the pension plan pays $58,800.  With a doubling of the CPP the $70k pension would need only $47,600 coming from the pension plan because CPP contributions would be $22,400 towards the pension,

The impact of a doubled CPP will save tens of Billions of dollars for public sector unions. This is especially important when many of these plans are serious underfunded. 

This concept of CPP integration is described in the article from CLC Time to double pension benefits is right now
In fact, the vast majority of workplace pensions are integrated with CPP, so any increase to CPP premiums will mean you pay less into your workplace pension. Therefore, you get the same pension income, just more of it from CPP. Labour's plan to double CPP benefits would raise the floor of our pension system from $11,000 per year to $22,000 per year. This benefits the 93 per cent of Canadians who are covered by the CPP. It also offers a source of retirement income that is portable across jobs, portable across provinces and territories, insured against inflation, and backed up by the government. 
Here is an interesting editorial from MP Chuck Strahl  describing how the CPP works in conjunction with public sector pensions.  Although he is discussing the current debate on veteran's pensions the same principle applies to all public sector pensions. Strahl defends party policies 
There is no pension clawback at age 65. The issue is that CF members may be eligible for a military pension before they are eligible for CPP. Because they are too young to qualify for CPP, veterans receive a "bridge benefit" for the years until they reach the pensionable age. The bridge benefit is later replaced with CPP.
There is a call for raising the age to qualify for CPP. Pension pay at 67 urged by think-tank Do not expect the public sector to participate in any reductions to the retirement age. They are happy with their early retirement plans. 
 
Raising the age for CPP pensions becomes a mute point for the public sector. They have this special rule that allows them to collect CPP (bridge benefit) regardless of the age they retire at. Through the bridge benefit the public sector accesses a taxpayer funded benefit identical to CPP, called a bridge benefit. The biggest retirement age in the public sector is age 55.

Note the average new federal employee retiree pension of $39,000 from last year. Although it is not clear in this report, they probably receive the bridge into CPP to give them a retiring income of in excess of $50,000 a year, in the first year.Report on the Public Service Pension Plan

Note from the CLC reports that total RRSP contributions for all Canadians last year were $33 Billion. This is very close to the $30 Billion taxpayers and employees into public sector pension plans last year. The only problem is that public sector pensions represent less than 20% of all workers in Canada. 

If all Canadians deposited what the public sector unions did into retirement funds then we would not have a retirement security problem. But then again most of the public sector deposits are from taxpayers.


Supplementary Plan
There is an alternative plan that is being suggested for retirement security reform. Any changes are designed to help the 70% of the private sector with no formal workplace pension plans. A supplementary plan is a top-up or add-on to the CPP plan. This style of plan has been implemented in many countries including New Zealand, Norway, Sweden and recently the UK. 

Keith Ambachtsheer is Canada's recognized pension guru. He has consulted on government pensions around the world and has led a large part of the discussion on pension reform in Canada. He provides good analysis in a recent editorial It’s time to choose the winning pension reform horse.
Insurance companies have yet to wade in and provide their opinion on pensions but the supplementary option is in their favor. They would maintain control of the management pensions with the supplementary pension system. Managing the retirement savings of Canadians is big business in Canada. 

The biggest complaint about Canada's private retirement savings system, mainly RRSP's, is the high cost of management fees associated with these plans. The CLC alludes to it in their proposal. However, I spoke with one senior Canadian insurance executive who indicated that large insurance companies have committed to managing these plans for .75 BPS, or less than 1%. The plans will be managed under huge savings programs managed much like insurance companies manage DB pension plans.

Life insurance and private investment management companies manage the supplementary system in New Zealand which is called the KIWI plan. It appears this is the way the UK NEST plan will be managed as well. 

Challenges
One of the major challenges to pension reform is the question, where will the money come from?

The public sector of course expects it to come from taxpayers and businesses. That is one reason they like the CPP option so much. It is funded 50/50 by workers and businesses.

The effect on small business in this country will be very harmful regardless of which option is chosen. They will be funding at least half of any pension reforms under both the current plans.

In the UK where the NEST plan is being rolled out there is a required employer contribution and business of course, get to pick up the administrative costs as well. Small businesses facing "extortionate" pension costs

A couple of articles have touched on the impact of these pension changes. Securing the future by expanding the Canada Pension Plan Mark Newton at Heenan Blaikie  points out that: 
Any type of Canada Pension Plan reform will have a potentially significant impact on employers and employees. Regardless of how the benefits are increased, more money will have to be pumped into the system by both employers and employees. The questions not addressed by the paper are where the money will come from and what the reaction might be, at a time when payroll and other taxes are already high.
For example, a possible reaction by some private sector employers to increases to the Canada Pension Plan might be to reduce contributions to other pension and retirement savings plans, so as to maintain existing payroll costs for pensions and benefits. This would defeat the government's stated objective of increasing retirement income levels. It could also further increase the disparity between public and private sector retirement benefits, insofar as public sector employers would continue to benefit from rich defined benefit pension plans, plus augmented Canada Pension Plan benefits.
By the way, raising the retirement age for CPP would shine the spotlight on public sector plans in a way they might not like.  The various pension plans for public sector employees generally allow early retirement on an unreduced pension at age 60 and even as early as age 55 if employees meet a service condition.
So consider the argument for increasing the CPP retirement age.  It goes like this:  “Canadians are living longer and so pensions are becoming more expensive.  Moreover, the ratio of retirees to workers is increasing, which puts a strain on the economy.  Raising the retirement age keeps Canadians in the workforce longer and makes their pensions more affordable.”
If this is the argument, however, how can public sector pensions justify heavily subsidized retirement at age 60 or even younger given that it is largely taxpayer money that makes this possible?  A higher CPP retirement age means this question will be asked more often.
Reform of public sector plans needs to be included in any discussions about changing Canada's pension system. The gap between public sector and private sector pensions is unfair. It is time for change.


The whole idea of the pension was to provide public servants with a decent retirement when they left public service. It was not to enrich them or to make them wealthy, to allow them to retire younger, with more money, to go off and play golf while the rest of us supported them. This attitude is growing out there in the public. People are beginning to realize what has been done and they are not happy about it.
 Bill Tufts 
Fair Pensions For All

Monday, November 1, 2010

Unions gone Mad



Concern over public sector unions is being reflected across the country. The public sector is the only bastion of unions. Private sector unions are almost dead. It appears public sentiment is turning against the public sector ones.

A battle is beginning and it is tied into the gold-plated pension issue.  

The tide has turned in Toronto with the election of a mayor who had a slogan of respect for taxpayers. Is the rest of the country far behind? It will be very interesting the see the effects of the US election! 

The battle will be a doozy. Are you ready? 

Election Season  
For the first time since the Great Recession voters have had a chance to send politicians their thoughts and anger. Municipal elections across Ontario tossed incumbent mayors. Gwyn Morgan has shed light on some of the reasons behind the election results. 

He wrote an article today in the Globe and Mail.  Toronto election offers chance to reform public sector 
The article also offers some suggestions to get fiscal control back in Canada and to offer taxpayers some respect. 
End union powers that hold citizens hostage: Turn important unionized monopoly public services into “essential services” in which strikes are forbidden. Insist that essential service union contracts reflect private sector competitive rates. Back that up with severe penalties for unions and union leaders who advocate illegal strikes, and the right to fire workers who strike illegally.
End compulsory union membership: Current laws force those seeking jobs in unionized workplaces to join the union. There should be an end to laws that deprive individuals of the right to work outside a union. This bridge has already been crossed; for example, 22 American states prohibit agreements between unions and employers that make membership and payment of union dues a condition of employment.
 Union membership is dying in the private sector. 
It appears that the only major remaining support for unions is in the public sector. In Canada not many  private sector workers are unionized. On the other had the public sector's 3.6 million workers are almost all unionized. 

There are only 4.4 million union workers in Canada. Statscan - Union Membership in Canada 
 
US Election 
Unions members in the US are running scared. They are afraid that electing fiscally responsible politicians will hurt them in the pocketbook. 

The highlighting of election spending by unions has forced the spotlight upon them. In this electoral season they will be by far the biggest spenders in the current elections. 

It has not helped that the media has covered the extent of their political contributions and the candidates they have gone to. This election should have been about the fraud taking place in corporate America but somehow it has turned on the public sector.  

Unions in the US have been estimated to  spent $87 million on the current election. This compares to an estimate of $30 million for the national Chambers of Commerce. Considering the rise of the Tea Party this spending creates a big risk for union backlash if the Republicans win. The ‘big dog’ in campaign spending

A columnist by the name of Jeff Jacoby has provided some excellent insights into the problem of public sector pensions in America. His excellent article What public-sector unions have wrought exposes some of these problems.


In the ensuing half-century, (since the '50's) the public sector in the United States has grown enormously. The number of government employees at all levels surged from about 8.2 million in 1959 to 22.5 million in 2009. Historically, government work paid less than comparable employment in the private economy, but greater job security and good pensions compensated for the lower wages. No longer: now government workers tend to fare better than private-sector workers across the board—not only in job security and pensions but in wages and other benefits as well. 

Nationwide, according to BLS data for 2009, state and local government employees were paid an average wage of $26.01 per hour, which was 34 percent higher than the average private-sector wage of $19.39 per hour. Even more lopsided was the public-sector advantage in fringe benefits, such as health and life insurance, paid vacations and sick leave, and—above all—retirement income: state and local governments provided their workers with benefits valued, on average, at $13.65 per hour, a 70 percent premium over the average benefits package in the private sector. In addition to being more expensive, the benefits that come with government jobs are provided to more employees. Life insurance, for example, was offered to 80 percent of employees working for the government but to just 59 percent of workers in the private sector. Traditional defined-benefit pension plans were available to 84 percent of government workers—but to only 21 percent of private employees.  

In 2008, the 1.9 million civilians employed by Uncle Sam were paid, on average, an annual salary of $79,197, according to the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis. The average private employee earned just $49,935. The difference between them came to more than $29,000 -- a disparity that has more than doubled since 2000. Add benefits to the mix and the federal advantage is even more striking. Total federal civilian compensation in 2008 averaged $119,982—more than twice the $59,908 in wages and benefits earned by the average private-sector employee. Edwards has tracked the inexorable widening of that gap: federal employees in 1960 averaged $1.24 for every $1 earned by an American in the private sector. By 1980, that $1.24 had grown to $1.51; in 2000 it was up to $1.66. Now it is $2—and climbing.  

IT IS NOT by happenstance that the growth in public-sector union jobs—from a trivial share of overall union membership 50 years ago to a majority today—has coincided with so vast an expansion of government and of its employees' pay and perquisites. As FDR had foreseen, there are crucial differences between collective bargaining in the public and private sectors. Labor unions negotiating on behalf of government employees enjoy at least four potent advantages, which they long ago learned to exploit.  

First, unlike their counterparts in the private sector, government unions are largely free from market discipline. Unions operating in the private economy know that there are limits to the demands they can make of an employer; private firms have to earn a profit to stay alive, and competition swiftly punishes those that fail to control cost and quality.  

A second advantage lies in the difference between public- and private-sector strikes. In business, a strike (or the threat of a strike) is an economic weapon that takes a toll on both sides: management suffers the loss of business, and labor must absorb the loss of wages. Consumers may experience some inconvenience, but they generally have the option of switching to another supplier or deferring their transaction to a later date. In the public sector, by contrast, strikes are political weapons. Because government services tend to be legal monopolies, a strike by police, garbage collectors, teachers, or air-traffic controllers inflicts pain on the public at large.   

A third advantage: in public-sector collective bargaining, labor and management frequently both stand to benefit from higher wages and more munificent retirement income. After taxpayer activists in California last year used the Freedom of Information Act to procure a list of government retirees receiving more than $100,000 annually in pension payments, the Sacramento Bee noticed who was on it:
Managers also dominate the $100,000 club list. These are the people who are supposed to represent the public when employee benefits are negotiated. But when government managers sit down with union leaders to dicker over compensation, they are negotiating for themselves as well. If rank-and-file workers get a wage or benefit boost, non-union managers get a commensurate hike and a matching pension benefit.
But a fourth advantage is more significant than any of these: government labor unions can reward politicians who give them what they want and punish those who don't. As a result, negotiations in the public sector have an inherent bias toward higher salaries, more lavish benefits, and more inflexible work rules. "This is because public unions can organize politically and influence elections,"
The whole of this article is worth reading and I urge you to do so. 
At the inception of unions in the 1930''s the danger of public sector unions was recognized. It was the president FDR who understood these dangers and in 1937 he stated

Danger of Public Sector Unions - FDR 1937 
"... Meticulous attention should be paid to the special relationships and obligations of public servants to the public itself and to the government. All Government employees should realize that the process of collective bargaining, as usually understood, cannot be transplanted into the public service. It has its distinct and insurmountable limitations ... The very nature and purposes of Government make it impossible for ... officials ... to bind the employer ... The employer is the whole people, who speak by means of laws enacted by their representatives ...

"Particularly, I want to emphasize my conviction that militant tactics have no place in the functions of any organization of government employees. Upon employees in the federal service rests the obligation to serve the whole people ... This obligation is paramount ... A strike of public employees manifests nothing less than an intent ... to prevent or obstruct ... Government ... Such action, looking toward the paralysis of Government ... is unthinkable and intolerable.

Read the full article about his comments at FDR's warning: Public employee unions a no-no


Bill Tufts
Fair Pensions For All

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Canada's Pension Options



It appears that most Canadians have recognized that Canada has a retirement crisis that needs to be fixed.

The debate is focused on two options. These are included in an article from the Globe and Mail entitled  Upgrades to Canada Pension Plan likely to miss fall deadline.
Governments consider ways to boost retirement savings
Option 1: Building on CPP; Option 2: setting up supplemental, private-sector-run plan
Federal and provincial officials are working on two options to encourage Canadians to save more for retirement. Finance Minister Jim Flaherty announced in June that a majority of provinces supported both of these options in principle.
Option 1: Enhancing the Canada Pension Plan in its current form. This option has the benefit of simplicity because the CPP already exists and has a solid reputation. Any increase in retirement benefits must be paid for by higher premiums. Several unions want benefits to double, but Mr. Flaherty has suggested the changes would be more modest. Alberta opposes this option, warning it will cost jobs and take away consumer choice.
Option 2: Creating a supplemental pension plan run by the private sector. This option aims to help workers who are self-employed or work for a small business that does not offer a company pension. The challenge with this option is that it does not currently exist, so private-sector firms will need to be found that are willing to run the system at low cost. Officials are also grappling with how to ensure there is proper oversight so that prices are fair for consumers. There is also a debate about whether companies of a certain size should be required to offer this on an “opt-out” basis to ensure the program has enough members.
  Yesterday the Globe and Mail updated the debate aver this issue in Pension reform won’t be easy, Jim Flaherty warns 

“This is not something that will happen quickly,” he said. “We have to first of all agree on where we’re going and make sure everybody’s happy with that. We already have at least one dissenting province and as you know there’s a quota rule in there, and I don’t know what the position of Quebec is.”

Reforming CPP requires the support of two-thirds of the provinces representing two-thirds of Canada’s population.

Alberta Finance Minister Ted Morton supports this private-sector option, but remains strongly opposed to enhancing the existing CPP.

Mr. Morton told The Globe’s editorial board earlier this month that he fails to understand why broad enhancements to CPP are on the table when several studies have shown the problem of insufficient retirement savings is primarily limited to middle-income earners who work for small private-sector employers.

“So why, when you have a fairly narrowly defined retirement-income problem that needs to be solved, why do you come in with a CPP hike that hits everybody?” he asked rhetorically. “And particularly, why do you do it when we’re trying to come out of a recession and job creation is probably the most important thing governments are doing. In the end, it’s a payroll tax.”

Canadian pension expert Keith Ambachtsheer, who warned in September that the talks have fallen behind schedule, has recently offered another update.

Mr. Ambachtsheer, the director of the Rotman International Centre for Pension Management, said opinion appears to be coalescing around the idea of paying for benefit enhancements for middle-income earners by increasing the Year’s Maximum Pension Earnings (YMPE), which is currently set at $47,200. Under that scenario, CPP premiums would not increase for those earning less than the maximum, but those earning above the YMPE would pay CPP premiums for a longer period until they hit the new maximum.

“And there are those who continue to argue that ‘don’t fix what isn’t broken,’ and that we should instead focus our attention fully on the ‘private pension innovation’ path,” writes Mr. Ambachtsheer.

“There is increasing recognition that even the ‘raise the YMPE’ path has considerable implementation challenges attached to it.” Questions remain, he said, over how high to raise the YMPE, how to integrate with current [defined benefit] plans, how to test and explain intergenerational fairness and how to deal with serious disappointment by many when they realize that, whatever is done, it will only have major impact decades from now.
The increased CPP program is endorsed by Canada's public sector labour unions who have already accumulated pensions worth in excess of $800 Billion. This contrasts with the CPP which has assets a little over $ 129 Billion. NUPGE - The top ten reasons to expand the Canada Pension Plan
 Expanding CPP will go a long way to improve the financial security of Canadian seniors.

Like all public programs and services, CPP is an important tie that binds us together as a nation. It is an expression of our collective commitment to one another and to the fundamental principle that all citizens have the right to income security and dignity.

We must seize the opportunity that exists today and demand that our political leaders across the country embrace this most sensible, affordable and effective approach to improving retirement security for all Canadians.
The Supplementary pension is one that has been implemented in other countries around the world. The UK is in the process of introducing the NEST program and New Zealand has plan called the Kiwi Saver. James Daw does a good job looking at some of the options available for the supplementary plan. Pension gap gets less air than long guns
Sweden, Norway, the United Kingdom and New Zealand — have done recently to promote increased savings at a reduced cost, and what Saskatchwan pioneered in 1986.

Sweden started in 2000 to require workers to contribute 2.5 per cent of pay to individual pension accounts to provide benefits beyond its public pension plan.

Norway opted to require employers to offer defined-contribution pension plans for employees, and contribute 2 per cent of pay on incomes up to about $150,000.

The United Kingdom is set to require anyone without an occupational pension plan to contribute 4 per cent of pay up to about $55,000 a year to individual pension accounts administered by the government starting in 2012. It will require employers to contribute 3 per cent of pay by 2017 and the state will contribute 1 per cent.

New Zealand, which had a more generous version of our tax-supported Old Age Security pension but nothing like our tax-deferred RRSPs, started a Kiwi Saver program in 2007.
Workers were enrolled automatically and, unless they opt to drop out within the first eight weeks, are to contribute 2 per cent of salary (or up to 8 per cent if they wish), while employers are to contribute 2 per cent by 2011. The government offered cash and tax incentives to promote savings, but these were reduced after a change of government.
Both plans will be a significant hike in payroll taxes for Canadian businesses. Will the cost outweigh the benefits of implementing either option?

What About the Public Sector?


It may appear surprising that the NUPGE (National Union of Public and General Employees) has anything to say about the pension issue. They have negotiated gold-plated pensions for their members at taxpayer's expense.

Public sector plans in Canada have accumulated $800 Billion in assets for the benefit of their members. And appear to be in the postion to pay out many multiples of what the average Canadian will get from the existing public CPP, OAS and GIS plans.

Ambachtsheer alludes to this in his comment
Questions remain, he said, over how high to raise the YMPE, how to integrate with current [defined benefit] plans, how to test and explain intergenerational fairness and how to deal with serious disappointment by many when they realize that, whatever is done, it will only have major impact decades from now.
He realizes that currently public sector pensions are designed to pay out 70% of retiring income. Of this a portion is covered by the CPP and the rest is picked up by the pension plan.  By doubling the amount paid by the CPP, shortfalls in public sector pension will be dramatically reduced or eliminated.

For example a government employee retiring on a $100,000 income will expect  a pension of $70,000 per year. The pension will be covered by CPP payments of $11,208 and the remaining $58,792 per year will be picked up by the pension funds. By doubling the CPP to $22,416 the pension only needs to cover $37,584.

In the above example the pension would need about $ 940,00 to cover the pension for the government employee. By doubling the CPP portion the amount required by the pension plan drops to $761,000, a difference of $179,000.

So you can see the motivation for the public sector to be behind this move.

The taxpayers is out of pocket for gold-plated pensions either with the status-quo or the supplementary plan. It is just that the supplementary plan is more politically expedient for the public sector pension plans. The shortfall is covered by CPP payments rather than the unions having to fight government to cover pension
shortfalls.

Many public sector pensions will now have actual surpluses. What do you think will happen to those pensions with  surpluses?

A) The surpluses are returned to taxpayers

B) The unions will fight for more pension enhancements? ie. earlier retirement ages or higher payouts?

It appears the options have been set for pension reform.

Will it really eliminate the problem of Canadians living in poverty? The average CPP payout today is around $ 6,060 per year. A doubling will bring them to $12,120.

How many retired Canadians can live off $12,120 per year mount?

Either way the public sector will still be getting gold-plated pensions.

Bill Tufts
Fair Pensions For All

Monday, October 25, 2010

Opportunities for Canada's pension funds


The UK is under severe financial distress, or so thinks the current government.

As a result the British government is looking at ways to lessen their financial problems. Like all governments in times like these they look at selling assets to help pay for the high costs of the public sector and its pension liabilities. One way the UK is looking at raising funds is by selling the forest of Britain. Most of these forests will end up in the hands of Canadian pension funds. 
  
MSN picked up the news and reported on it in Britain plans huge sell-off of forests in bid to cut deficit 
Britain's government will soon unveil plans to sell around half of the woodlands it oversees, paving the way for a huge expansion in holiday resorts, golf courses and commercial logging operations, The Sunday Telegraph reported.
 
Environment Secretary Caroline Spelman will unveil the plans to dispose about 50 percent of the 748,000 hectares (1.85 million acres) of forest within days, according to the newspaper.

Laws overseeing so-called ancient forests, such as the Forest of Dean and Sherwood Forest, are most likely to be changed to allow companies to cut down trees, according to the Telegraph.

"We are looking to energize our forests by bringing in fresh ideas and investment, and by putting conservation in the hands of local communities," a source close to the Department for the Environment Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) told the newspaper.

A third of the land will be sold before 2015, and the rest by 2020, a government source told the newspaper.
Legislation dealing with forests dates back to the Magna Carta, which was forced onto King John in 1215 and formed the basis for English law, the newspaper reported.
Boon for Ontario Teachers
One pension fund ready to jump at the opportunity is the Ontario Teachers Pension Plan (OTPP). they rub their hands together over opportunities like this. These investments produce high level and long term profits. Best of all they do not have to disclose any of their dealing with these assets. They come under the umbrella of private equity. 

Ontario Teachers has privatized many assets that are capable of producing 20% to 25% returns. These are fantastic returns in times like this.

OTPP already has a big foot in the door in the UK.It has purchased many former government assets already and will be eager to get more onto their books. 


Teachers has made a big purchase of New Zealand forest and will be familiar with the steps need to acquire the forests of the Britain. Ontario Teachers Buy New Zealand Forests 
A group including Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan and Boston-based Prudential Timber Investments Inc. agreed to buy 106,000 hectares of trees from Fletcher Challenge Forests Ltd. for NZ$725 million ($469 million) 
Foresters such as Fletcher are selling forests to concentrate on more profitable timber mills and distribution as the local dollar's surge, 23 percent this year, erodes the value of export log sales. Investors such as AMP Capital Investors (New Zealand) Ltd.'s Nat Vallabh say the North American funds can take a longer-term view of their investments. 

The forest ``is regarded as one of the best plantation forests anywhere in the world,'' said Ian Jolly, a New Zealand spokesman for GMO Renewable Resources, investment adviser for Harvard Management Co. New Zealand has 1.8 million hectares (4.4 million acres) of forest
 As well as forests Teachers is familiar with assets in the UK.


It has several other investments in the UK as well. So expect to see more activity in these types of acquisitions. It has no shortage of cash from Ontario taxpayers. 

Teachers has over $96.4 Billion accumulated assets for its 289,000 teachers and retirees. This contrasts with the Canadian Pension Plan (CPP) that which has $129 Billion for 18,000,000 working Canadians. 

Bill Tufts 
Fair pensions For All